So, here it is, my first tip on this blog.
Today in Norway, 11th placed Valerenga will host 2nd placed Rosenborg.
A month ago Rosenborg had a difficult time with two losses in one week, but now they're on the winning track again with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games. Still, last week they lost some valuable points at home against Molde (0-0), this means they really can't afford to lose points again. With one game less played, they are 8 points behind leader Stromsgodset. With 3 wins in 5 away games, their away record is pretty solid.
Hosts Valerenga on the other hand, are rather inconsistent, with 13 points in 11 games. Their home record this seasons isn't very impressive either. In 5 home games, they lost 2 and won 3. Also interesting is the fact that they will have some defensive problems today.
Conclusion: Rosenborg has the better team, and is in need of points. With Valerenga having some defensive problems today, the 3 points should go to the visitors.
Pick: Valerenga - Rosenborg 2 @ 1.90
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